Your 401K Choices Are Important

Many times over the years I’ve looked at outside 401k plans for clients and others who have requested this. Often, they know these choices are important but they may not have a clue about how to make the choices or who to turn to.

In bigger companies, human resources professional offer advice about how to sign up or withdraw money but may not know much about how to pick investments either. The decision point often is when an employee is new to a company, has to deal with lots of paperwork and is nervous about adjusting to so many new things. Picking a 401k investment portfolio is way down the priority list.

That’s too bad because the choices of how much to invest and where to put the money are important, especially if you are young and stay on the job for a long time. I’ve also seen people who have held many jobs and accumulated a string of retirement plans and have no way or interest in developing a coherent investment strategy.

Many plans now are electronic only and obtaining relevant information from these websites or digital brochures can be frustrating. As a consequence, many people settle for making what they believe are common sense choices. Many plans offer target date funds and what could be simpler than determining your retirement date and signing up for that fund? Or they pick something else that sounds good: what could be wrong about a “balanced” fund. Failing that, how about picking 4 or 5 choices. That way, at least some of them may be good.

People who are actually using these accounts to invest and save for retirement, have a genuine long-term outlook (many decades) and aren’t using these accounts as expensive piggy banks (borrowing the max whenever possible) could be denying themselves a powerful investment tool.

For someone who is in their 20s or 30s and may not touch their retirement accounts for 30 or 40 years, their most precious investment resource is time. And by making a choice that is not thoughtful or downright wrong, they squander this valuable resource.

The daily ups and downs of the stock market matter little if one is putting away money for the distant future. If one properly constructs a diversified portfolio and leaves it in place for decades, the returns can be powerful.

In investing, as in much of life, there are no guarantees, Instead, we have to rely on the odds and weigh the potential risks and probable returns. In some cases, making reasonable changes to the investment mix and using assumptions based on long-term historical returns, returns of double or more over the decades are possible.

Before making the choices, we have to look at someone’s complete financial life, their hopes and dreams, the stability of their career and their tolerance for risk. Doing all of these things with the help of an experienced professional can make a big difference in someone’s financial life. It’s worth spending a little time on the choices rather than rushing through the burdensome paperwork.

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Easy Peasy

Many people think there is nothing difficult about personal finance. Listen to a few gurus on TV and maybe scan a magazine or two.

That may have once been the case (I would argue not) but it’s certainly not the case after the passage of the Secure Act last December, which was followed quickly by the CARES Act and the possible Heroes Act.

Couple that with other changes to RMDs, add in QCDs, QLACs, IRMAA (Income Related Monthly Adjustment Amounts), partial Roth Conversions, pension options, tax loss harvesting, asset allocation, tax aware investing, market timing and the Social Security formula (the simple part — 35 years of monthly inflation adjusted earnings).

If you’ve got all that, knock yourself out and do your own planning and hope you don’t run out of money in retirement (See Monte Carlo simulations).

If you can’t sort your way through that alphabet soup and want help with ETFs, ETNs, open end mutual funds, closed end mutual funds, ADRs and plenty more, how about turning to a CFP (Certified Financial Planner), CFA (Chartered Financial Analyst) or CSA (Certified Senior Advisor) or better yet someone with all three.

We don’t know all the answers, but we do know a lot of the right questions and a lot of the places to start looking for answers.

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Paying for a Child’s Retirement for the Price of a Car

One of the best presents you can give a child is to fund their retirement. And it costs about the same as a modest car. The key to the gift is time. Having a long time to invest is critical but it costs you nothing but patience.

First let me explain how this works and then the four ways it could go wrong.

The initial step is to fund a Roth IRA. A child must have earned income but you can contribute an equivalent sum up to $5,500 a year to the child’s Roth. A Roth provides no deduction on the way in but if you hold it until age 59 1/2, there’s no tax on the way out. A $5,000 contribution to a Roth at age 20 and invested 100 percent in a diversified stock fund, earning the long-term return of stocks, would be worth $587,000 at age 70.

This sounds too easy so what could go wrong?

First, Congress could change the law so that the withdrawal would be taxed.

Secondly, inflation could eat up some or all of the returns. At the 3 percent inflation which has been the U.S. average in recent years, inflation would drive down the purchasing power by a third. Still, it would be a nice bundle to have in retirement.

Third, stocks could have disappointing returns. The longer one owns a diversified fund of stocks, the more likely that returns will be good but there are no guarantees in the stock market.

Finally, the child could mess things up in a variety of ways: invade the account early, change the investing approach or some other, unanticipated way.

Still, for the price of a regular car or less than a full semester at a good college, a parent could prepay a child’s entire retirement. An interesting idea and one I believe in strongly enough to try it.

 

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Preparing Your Estate

Prosperity and cyberspace have combined to make dealing with estates more difficult than in previous times. Rather than leaving a mess behind — the proverbial shoebox of unorganized documents  — one can make the task of heirs a lot easier some simple and easy steps. Put together a list of all of your financial accounts, the institutions where they are held, current balances and contact information. Add to that list the professionals you deal with and relevant passwords. Many people accumulate a hodgepodge of accounts, insurance policies and other assets, some with small balances, and it’s easy for someone not familiar with these accounts to overlook some. The guesswork at an emotional time to piece together someone’s financial life can be daunting even if you do manage to find everything. Many do not. Evidence of that is in every state capital where abandoned or lost accounts total in the billions. Some simple steps can space loved ones a lot of grief so don’t put this off and leave a mess behind.

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Aging and Financial Decisions

Most of us expect that as we age, our capacity for making complex financial decisions diminishes. A professor at Texas Tech, Michael Finke, has compiled research that supports this supposition. From my own experience working with elderly relatives and clients, I believe this to be the case. Most of the “old old” that I’ve dealt with haven’t had the capacity or perhaps the interest in these complicated matters. For many, they simply don’t want to tackle these issues. They are more likely to want to visit with family and friends or pursue their passionate interests or merely handle the tasks of getting through the day. It’s important that we prepare for this stage by designating a trusted relative, friend or professional to step in and handle these matters when we no longer are capable of doing so  at the level we were in our peak years. A decline in skills may be combined with more difficult issues such as the onset of early stage dementia, paranoia or other cognitive impairment. There is no way to sugar coat the difficulty of living through or taking care of someone who is afflicted. But at least if we prepare for the typical decline or even worse issues we can prevent needless financial devastation as well.

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Savings and Tax Time

In a month, personal income taxes are due. You still have time to fund a Regular IRA or a Roth IRA for calendar year 2015.

IRAs are a good way to save for retirement and everyone who can afford to fund an IRA, should consider doing it. There are different eligibility rules for each and which one you should use depends on many factors.

Among the key factors for picking between an IRA and a Roth are your current and future tax rates, when you’ll need the money and where it’s going.

If your tax rate is low now and may be higher in retirement, you might be more inclined to fund a Roth. If your tax rates are the reverse — high now, and low later — you’d be more likely to do an IRA.

Except for higher income people, contributions to an IRA are deductible but taxable on withdrawal. Roth contributions get no deduction but aren’t taxable if taken out after the account has been open for five years and the holder is over age 59 1/2.

If some of your money might go to a charity, a Regular IRA would be good since you won’t owe tax on the distribution (up to $100,000) if you are older than 70 1/2.

If you are younger than 50, you can contribute $5,500 to an IRA or Roth as can your spouse. Those older than 50 can contribute an extra $1,000 annually.

The younger you are, the more time your investments have to work for you. Regular contributions to IRAs or Roths can be a key part of your retirement savings.

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Big Changes to Social Security

This fall two Social Security “aggressive claiming strategies” were eliminated. This is the biggest change in Social Security in more than a decade.

These changes will affect when many couples should claim their retirement benefits. For people who turned 62 by Dec. 31, the major strategy is still available. For those older than 66 by the end of April, another strategy remains available until April 29.

While both strategies had been on the books for at least 15 years, they have gained attention recently.

Social Security is bigger and more complicated than most people realize. The benefits amount to five percent of gross national product and are the bedrock of most people’s retirement.

Coordinating Social Security benefits with the rest of your assets and plans is an important part of preparing for a comfortable retirement. Maximizing your benefits means taking into account your work plans, your partner, your tax strategy and the deployment of your other assets.

Many people make spur of the moment decisions on Social Security and pensions and may never realize why their hopes and dreams go awry. Failure to make the correct decisions can cost tens of thousands of dollars.

We talk to people frequently about these issues and are happy to help.

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The Sun Doesn’t Always Shine

We now have a solar roof and it takes care of our electrical needs on sunny days but the sun doesn’t always shine. At night, our panels rest. During storms and very cloudy days, the panels aren’t at peak efficiency.

Yet when it comes to personal finances, I generally come across people whose planning assumes that the sun will always shine.

Many of these people are do it yourselfers where one partner in a couple handles the finances and does it well. But what happens when that person gets too busy or injured or sick or passes away?

What about when old age and diminished mental capacity don’t permit them to perform in the way they’d like?

What happens to a couple who are living together for many years when the storms finally roll in?

Not long ago, someone asked me what happens if the bull market ends? Will the stock market go down?

I told him the question is wrong. We know the market always goes up and down.

The long-term trend for a century has been up but we know the market will go down and we need to plan for that.

We enjoy the sunshine and warm weather, the lazy days of summer. But we don’t throw out our umbrellas and raincoats and keep our flashlights handy.

We know that the sun doesn’t always shine and we always need to keep in mind the possibility of stormy days ahead and prepare accordingly.

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Aging and Financial Skills

 

Diminished Ability to Handle Personal Finances

As people age, they gradually lose their ability to handle their own finances. Often, this process is so gradual that the person himself and those around him are unaware of what’s happening until something serious happens. The elderly control the most assets and are the most susceptible to financial scams and poor choices. As people get older, their financial affairs often get more complex. They must deal with complex choices on healthcare, long-term care, taxes, life insurance, pensions, Social Security and estate planning. Often just handling the routine chores of daily financial affairs become beyond reach. Recently The New York Times had an article discussing the research behind the loss of cognitive skills needed for personal finance. Steps to mitigate these inevitable problems include striving to simplify your financial affairs — consolidating your holdings in a small number of financial institutions, trimming your actual number of holdings, avoiding complex or exotic instruments. Another common solution is to use automatic bill paying where possible. People should also find trusted family members, friends or professionals who can step in when needed. Appropriate advanced directives such as powers of attorney and health care proxies also need to be in place. Planning for the inevitable will help avoid many of the worst potential pitfalls.

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How Much Money Do You Need to Retire?

 

Planning for Retirement
Often I am asked how much money is enough for retirement?

On the surface, it’s a simple and logical question but in reality it’s quite complex. Almost always, the answer is “it depends.”

When are you planning to retire? Age 50? 60? 75? Never? Where are you going to retire? Manhattan? Orlando? Rural Oklahoma? It makes a big difference. Most people would agree that it takes more money to retire in Manhattan than Oklahoma. But what if you have a cheap rent controlled apartment and no car.

In general, most people have an exaggerated idea of how much money it takes to retire and don’t fully appreciate the size of their resources. Sometimes I come across people who face a hopeless situation.

But more often, I talk to people who are unnecessarily worried and don’t realize how large their Social Security and pension or 401-K are.

Their concerns are not harmless; they can lead to bad decisions.

The first step to a good retirement is a realistic assessment of your spending needs and a full tally of your resources. Neither task is simple.

If you are confused and concerned about retirement, we can help.

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